

Quakes @ Columbo Preview
By: Sean | June 6th, 2008So after spending all morning deliberating on what angle to take on today’s preview post, I read Tim Hanley’s preview over at Center Line Soccer, and he hit the nail right on the head:
I would love to see Ramiro and Gray side by side as defensive mids. Make it difficult for the Crew to play in the middle through Schelotto. Maybe Kirvoski in front of them with Johnson doing his best battering ram impression. Ryan will be surrounded by some big guys so maybe push the ball to the flanks to pull Marshall out of the middle. Long balls played in the air will come right back at you. I think Salinas should start on the right if only in the hopes that, like Ian Russell, he will turn it on next year. Ian was superb in 2001 after logging tough minutes on Lothar Osiander’s 2000 side that is shockingly similar to this year’s version. O’Brien can play on the left and balance out the side.
I agree wholeheartedly with the above, with a couple changes. Kirovski will be Cuncliffe, as Yallop was quoted as saying that he will get the start after scoring his first of the season last week. (Note: If its actually Kirovski and Cuncliffe, with Johnson sitting, well, I might just give up on the season). There’s also talk that O’Brien has a tweak in his back, so I’m going to assume the worst and say that he won’t play, pushing Riley up to outside midfield with Salinas. With Garcia being out, and Riley in the midfield, this puts Hernandez at center-back with Cochrane, and moves Gray to right back. Taking his place at the defensive midfield spot is Joey Vide. Still with me? This might make it easier:

This, I think, is our best chance to leave Ohio with points. Yes, its very defensive. But I think the speed of Riley and El Shea can create chances on the counter-attack, with the ball coming through Cunliffe. If we can get him the ball, have him hold up the play, bring it back out to the wing, and then play balls into the box, with Corrales lurking at the top of the box for a rebound. (We can’t pretend that Corrales will ACTUALLY sit back and not come forward. We don’t want miracles.)
So while this looks eerily similar to a 4-5-1, it actually has the potential to quickly change to a 4-4-2, or even to a 4-2-4. As Hanley said, “defend with six, attack with four”. Granted, all of the above is moot because Yallop will play Grabavoy (grumble grumble grumble).
Best case scenario, it plays out like the first half of the US/Spain match, with containing their attack, and not dropping too far back into our own area, and perhaps creating a chance or two on the break. (Side note: you know your team is bad when you are comparing Columbo to the Spanish National Team.)
Worst case scenario, they create chances early and often, we never establish any sort of rhythm, and allow them to play however they’d like.
0 points = a shrug (to be expected)
1 point = a smile (a moral victory)
3 points = a hangover on Sunday (the comeback starts now)
Prediction: 3-1 Columbo. Sorry boys. Prove me wrong.
P.S. I found Hanley’s comment about the similarities of this year’s team to 2000 very intriguing. Look for some analysis of that next week.
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Comments
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Sean – I’m enjoying your addition to this blog. Very entertaining, but what do you have against Grabavoy? From what I’ve seen, he has been the Quakes most consistent and dynamic player. Isn’t he also in the Top Ten in MLS in assists with four?
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Thank you for the kind words, dwsharks. Let me split this up into two different topics, though they might have something to do with each other in the end.
1) I commented on another post about my hesitance on citing assists as any sort of stat worth merit. For baseball fans, I equate assists with “wins” for a pitcher. Yes, the public sees it as a measuring stick for a player, but the fact is, there are lots more factors that play into a pitcher getting a win (and a player getting an assist).
If a player makes a simple pass at the halfway line, and then the receiving player goes on a 40 yard run, beats two players, and slots a shot home, an assist is credited. Similarly, if a player puts in a beautiful cross, a player shanks a header at goal, which falls to another player who scores, the player who shanked the ball gets the assist.
The overall affect of this can lead to a player who spends all game making beautiful passes, crosses, and through-balls for his strikers, only for the strikers to muff every single chance. The player, no matter how nice the passes are, gets no credit, because he cannot force the other players to score.
So thats my soapbox for assist in general.
2) For Grabavoy in particular, I just haven’t seen the kind of creativity and vision that would be up to par for that position. And I am talking about in general, not just this season. Even during his time in Columbo and the Gals, I’ve never been a huge fan. Does that mean I had bias even going into this season? Probably.
I think it was a huge mistake to not go after Christian Gomez. Colorado loaned their DP slot out for two years to get him, something that we easily could have done. I think that with Gomez, we could be battling for a playoff spot. So does my dismay that we didn’t go after Gomez play into my skepticism about Grabavoy? Probably.
Like I said in a previous post, even if its not Gomez, I think an above-average linking player is the biggest piece in this goal-scoring puzzle. I have enough confidence (for better or worse) in Kirovski, Kamara, Johnson, Cunliffe, and Glinton that they can score goals if they are given opportunities.
I think Grabavoy is a nice player, one that would excel at the USL1 level. However, I just don’t see the abilities to be a true difference-maker in MLS. He has been in the league since 2004, and has yet to establish himself (in my eyes). Granted, he is only 24, so I suppose I should not throw him under the bus so early, but at 24, he should be at just about the peak of his development.
He very well be “the most dynamic” player on our team, but that is pretty faint praise.
Hope this cleared some things up. I appreciate the comments.
Sean
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Ronnie O’Brien is the best player on the team. If he’s healthy, you put him where he is at his best, and then build the rest of the team. That is, I wouldn’t stick him on the left just to get Shea Salinas in the game. Having said that, Tim Hanley knows a lot more about soccer than I do.
I vote for Guerrero for the “most dynamic” player on the team.
And I echo the previous comments … this is shaping up to be a very good blog!
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Great site! i look forward to some ‘back and forth’ here. My viewpoint differs greatly from the norm and what we’ve seen so far from the Earthquakes.
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Thanks Sean. I guess I have to disagree with you that assists are an inflated statistic. Someone’s got to start the break and get the ball moving. Donovan, Beckham and Gomez are all tops in assists…I’m not saying Grabavoy is in their compnay, but he has been our best threat so far – which is sad.
I’m looking for Cunliffe to score tonight but without Garcia, the Quakes lose 3-1…again.
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I’m so happy to see Riley in your line-up. Now that Denton’s lost his “that guy” label and secured his spot in the back line, I hope to see Riley move forward a bit!
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Tim – Thank you for the comment! I am very excited for your take on some of the posts by Ian and I on this site.
Sharks – At least we can agree on one thing – a 3-1 drubbing coming our way today. Let’s hope we both get proved wrong!
Melissa – I think I am higher on Riley than most, I would like to see him get a few chances, especially with Guerrero (and O’Brien?) out. Besides, its not like we have a plethora of wingers available.
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It’s good to be wrong. Great game by the Quakes tonight.
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