Sports Club Stats – 7/29
By: Sean | July 29th, 2008The first edition on checking up on Ken Roberts’ Sports Club Stats page for the Quakes. Let me try to break down some of the jargon for you:
Last week’s tie against the Bulls shot our chance of making the playoffs up 4 percent, from .74% to 4.74%!
Next we have the “What If”, which has nothing to do with Peguero’s leg, rather it shows our chances to finish at each spot, 1-14. Now, for this, each simulation is simply a coin flip. So whether or not we are playing Dallas or Houston or New England, our chance of “winning” is still the same. So this is basically saying, from what we have done this season, all things equal, what are our chances for X place.
To start: As of now, there is a 55% chance that we will finish in last place. If we go 4-1-7 (W-D-L) the rest of the way, there is a 96% chance we will still finish last. Anything worse than that is 100% chance. The first time we see that our best chance (44%) is to finish second to last is 6-1-5. If we do that, we have a 30% chance of finishing last, but a 21% chance of finishing 12th.
Still with me? Good. There will be a test on this later. I’ll be back with more fun with numbers later today or tomorrow.
P.S. Does it make me a nerd that this website made me just as happy as Alvarez did yesterday?
P.P.S. Don’t answer that.
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Category: Numbers
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While I’m happy you’ve found joy in the numbers from this website, I’m thinking the results are not so favorable for SJ. Instead, I’d like to take a moment to appreciate the subtle humor Andrea Canales shows from time to time, most recently from this blog post where she reacts to today’s earthquake in the Los Angeles area: “Maybe it’s a sign that those new trades are going to pay off for San Jose in the second half of the season.”
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