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	<title>San Jose Earthquakes &#187; Numbers</title>
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	<link>http://sanjose.theoffside.com</link>
	<description>News from San Jose Earthquakes MLS team</description>
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		<title>Sports Club Stats &#8211; 7/29</title>
		<link>http://sanjose.theoffside.com/numbers/sports-club-stats-729.html</link>
		<comments>http://sanjose.theoffside.com/numbers/sports-club-stats-729.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Jul 2008 19:51:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Numbers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fun with numbers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sean]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The first edition on checking up on Ken Roberts&#8217; Sports Club Stats page for the Quakes.  Let me try to break down some of the jargon for you:
Last week&#8217;s tie against the Bulls shot our chance of making the playoffs up 4 percent, from .74% to 4.74%! 

Next we have the &#8220;What If&#8221;, which [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The first edition on checking up on Ken Roberts&#8217; <a href="http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/West/Earthquakes.html">Sports Club Stats</a> page for the Quakes.  Let me try to break down some of the jargon for you:</p>
<p>Last week&#8217;s tie against the Bulls shot our chance of making the playoffs up 4 percent, from .74% to 4.74%! </p>
<p><img src="http://img66.imageshack.us/img66/4484/chanceatmakingplayoffsjc8.jpg"></p>
<p>Next we have the &#8220;What If&#8221;, which has nothing to do with Peguero&#8217;s leg, rather it shows our chances to finish at each spot, 1-14. Now, for this, each simulation is simply a coin flip.  So whether or not we are playing Dallas or Houston or New England, our chance of &#8220;winning&#8221; is still the same.  So this is basically saying, from what we have done this season, all things equal, what are our chances for X place.</p>
<p>To start:  As of now, there is a 55% chance that we will finish in last place.  If we go 4-1-7 (W-D-L) the rest of the way, there is a 96% chance we will still finish last.  Anything worse than that is 100% chance.  The first time we see that our best chance (44%) is to finish second to last is 6-1-5.  If we do that, we have a 30% chance of finishing last, but a 21% chance of finishing 12th.</p>
<p>Still with me?  Good.  There will be a test on this later.  I&#8217;ll be back with more fun with numbers later today or tomorrow.</p>
<p>P.S. Does it make me a nerd that this website made me just as happy as Alvarez did yesterday?<br />
P.P.S. Don&#8217;t answer that.</p>
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		<title>I Can Die Happy</title>
		<link>http://sanjose.theoffside.com/numbers/i-can-die-happy.html</link>
		<comments>http://sanjose.theoffside.com/numbers/i-can-die-happy.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Jul 2008 18:21:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Numbers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fun with numbers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nerd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sean]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/West/Earthquakes.html
Why oh why did I have to find this link while at work?
I&#8217;ll be doing an in-depth review of what it all means later today, just had to get this out there.
Amazing.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/West/Earthquakes.html">http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/West/Earthquakes.html</a></p>
<p>Why oh why did I have to find this link while at work?</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll be doing an in-depth review of what it all means later today, just had to get this out there.</p>
<p>Amazing.</p>
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